I keep hearing about poll numbers this election season, the latest one showing Obama leading McCain 48%-42%. But to me, all those polls are useless.
No mater how much the media likes to hype such polls, national poll numbers simply don't matter at this point. Electoral College votes are what matter, and that's
decided at the state level. So all that really matter are the individual
battleground states. They are the ones that will tip the election. In 2000, Florida was the key swing state that tipped it to the Republicans; in 2004 it was Ohio. It'll be interesting to see which state is the difference-maker this year.
Interesting article from nypost.com today.
http://www.nypost.com/seven/06052008...map_114049.htm
June 5, 2008 -- The vote for president looks like a squeaker - with Democrat
Barack Obama edging out Republican
John McCain by a razor-thin eight electoral votes, according to a Post analysis of a dozen battleground states.
Obama would win 273 electoral votes - just three over the 270 required to capture the White House, the analysis found.
Sen. McCain would win 265 votes, but a change of even one state could put him over the top.
A national CBS poll released yesterday shows Obama leading McCain, 48 percent to 42 percent, in the popular vote. But there are concerns for Obama, with 12 percent of Democrats saying they will back McCain.
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