Re: PO's Official Election Update Thread
I have things to do today, I may not be able to keep this updated.
But let's begin with Intrade. It's been around about 10 years. It correctly predicted the last two elections.
2004 - It got 50 out of 50 states correct.
2008 - 48 out of 50 states correct.
Right now Intrade has Obama winning - 71.5% - Romney 30.0%
Other predictive markets:
Predictwise: Obama 73.1% - Romney 26.8%
Betfair: Obama 76.6% - Romney 23.0%
IEM (for popular vote only)- Obama 78.1% - Romney 22.0%
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Last edited by Pressing-On; 11-06-2012 at 01:01 PM.
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