Latest projections for fall elections

[Walks_in_islam]

The site electionprojections.com is pretty good at interpreting individual polls on individual nationwide races. The latest projection is 214:221 Republicans to Democrats. The ratio has been creeping up over the last few weeks with a few key races neck in neck. There appears to be a chance that republicans could take over the house, which may be good because gridlock is better than bad policy. Their latest blog (from their site http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php)

Democratic House majority is in serious jeopardy
Election Projection's House tally stands at 221 Democrats and 214 Republicans. A net of 35 seats are now projected to go to the GOP on November 2, just 4 shy of a Republican majority. That count, like an approaching thunderstorm, has risen slowly over the last weeks and months and shows no signs of stopping short of the 39-seat mark needed to remove the gavel from Nancy Pelosi's hand. Yesterday, Charlie Cook raised his GOP takeover range to 35-45 seats, moving ten House seat ratings in the Republicans' direction. Earlier this week, both Gallup and Rasmussen released record advantages for the GOP in their respective congressional generic surveys. And today, the four seats needed for the GOP's first projected majority in the House here at EP are a hair's breadth from red territory.
In three races - FL-2, NC-8 and OH-16 - the Democrat leads by 0.1%, and in a fourth, NM-1, the lead is just 0.3%. It is entirely possible the next batch of pundit rating changes or generic surveys could usher in the first projected GOP majority in the House since early in 2006. Beyond the majority, however, potential gains remain numerous. A shift of 2.1% across the board would yield a 50-seat gain for Republicans. That would give the GOP 229 seats in the House - almost as many as they held at their highest point during the 12 years of GOP control from 1994 to 2006.

There's a wave building out there, a political wave of a decidedly crimson hue. It's coming, and it's growing as it nears. It hasn't gotten to us yet; it won't until November. But we can hear it already, and the sound is getting louder. To quote the agent from The Matrix, the sound you hear, if you care to listen, "is the sound of inevitability." And unlike Neo, the Democrat majority doesn't appear capable of a super-human escape.