Here Comes The Landslide

deacon blues · #1 11-01-2012, 09:11 AM

Article from Realclearpolitics.com, Dick Morris:

Quote:

Voters have figured out that President Obama has no message, no agenda and not even much of an explanation for what he has done over the past four years. His campaign is based entirely on persuading people that Mitt Romney is a uniquely bad man, entirely dedicated to the rich, ignorant of the problems of the average person. As long as he could run his negative ads, the campaign at least kept voters away from the Romney bandwagon. But once we all met Mitt Romney for three 90-minute debates, we got to know him — and to like him. He was not the monster Obama depicted, but a reasonable person for whom we could vote...As we stripped away Obama’s yearlong campaign of vilification, all the president offered us was more servings of negative ads — ads we had already dismissed as not credible. He kept doing the same thing even as it stopped working.

The result was that the presidential race reached a tipping point. Reasonable voters saw that the voice of hope and optimism and positivism was Romney while the president was only a nitpicking, quarrelsome, negative figure. The contrast does not work in Obama’s favor.

His erosion began shortly after the conventions when Indiana (11 votes) and North Carolina (15) moved to Romney (in addition to the 179 votes that states that McCain carried cast this year)...Then, in October, Obama lost the Southern swing states of Florida (29) and Virginia (13). He also lost Colorado (9), bringing his total to 255 votes.

And now, he faces the erosion of the northern swing states: Ohio (18), New Hampshire (4) and Iowa (6). Only in the union-anchored state of Nevada (9) does Obama still cling to a lead.

In the next few days, the battle will move to Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10) and Minnesota (10). Ahead in Pennsylvania, tied in Michigan and Wisconsin, and slightly behind in Minnesota, these new swing states look to be the battleground.

Or will the Romney momentum grow and wash into formerly safe Democratic territory in New Jersey and Oregon?

Once everyone discovers that the emperor has no clothes (or that Obama has no argument after the negative ads stopped working), the vote shift could be of historic proportions.

The impact on Senate races could be profound. Give the GOP easy pickups in Nebraska and North Dakota. Wisconsin has been a roller coaster. Once an easy win for Republican Tommy Thompson, then a likely loss as Democrat Tammy Baldwin caught up, and now Republican again, it will probably be a third pickup. Romney’s surge in Virginia is propelling George Allen to a good lead for the first time all campaign. In Montana, Republican Denny Rehberg holds and has held for some time a small lead over Democrat incumbent Jon Tester. And, in Pennsylvania, Smith has powered his campaign to a small lead over Democrat Bob Casey Jr.

The GOP now leads in these six takeaways. But it is also within easy striking distance in Ohio and Florida, where incumbents are under 50 percent and Republican challengers Connie Mack (Fla.) and Josh Mandel (Ohio) are only a few points behind. It may even be possible to entertain daydreams of Rhode Island (Barry Hinckley) and New Jersey (Joe Kyrillos) going Republican.

Republican losses? Look for a giveback in Maine and possibly in Indiana and Massachusetts. In Indiana, Republican Richard Mourdock had established a 5-point lead over Democrat Joe Donnelly. But his comments about rape knocked him back to a tie. With Romney carrying the state by 15 points, however, Mourdock could still make it. In Massachusetts, Brown has been in hand-to-hand combat with Elizabeth Warren. Down by five a few days ago, he’s now tied, but the undecided usually goes against the incumbent.

The most likely outcome? Eight GOP takeaways and two giveaways for a net gain of six. A 53-47 Senate, just like we have now, only opposite.

Barack Obama’s parting gift to the Democratic party.

canam · #2 11-01-2012, 01:30 PM

canam · #3 11-01-2012, 01:39 PM

Obam is in wisconsin today wisconsin !!!!! he shouldnt even have to waste time there but this is proof that this state is gone also and he is only trying to stop the hemorage !!!

StillStanding · #4 11-01-2012, 01:49 PM

I don't believe there will be a landslide for either candidate. I believe the election will be very close and decided by Ohio, Wisconsin or Iowa.

At this point, nobody knows who will win! The media is sure pushing for Obama, but the influence of the media is not what it use to be. It could be daylight before we know who won! We might even return to a situation like 2000, where the Supreme Court has to step in to decide.

StillStanding · #5 11-01-2012, 03:58 PM

Rasmussen Poll has Wisconsin as a tie, but I looked back at what Rasmussen Polls had for Wisconsin at this time in 2008. In 2008 they gave Obama an 8 point lead, and he actually won by 11 points. They were off by 3 points.

Other polls give Obama a 2 point edge in Wisconsin. I still say that Obama has the edge in Wisconsin, but the difference comes on who has the momentum on election day!

Cindy · #6 11-01-2012, 06:18 PM

Who is DM?

canam · #7 11-01-2012, 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cindy

Who is DM?

"dedicated /deluded/demented mind",you make the call

canam · #8 11-01-2012, 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StillStanding

Rasmussen Poll has Wisconsin as a tie, but I looked back at what Rasmussen Polls had for Wisconsin at this time in 2008. In 2008 they gave Obama an 8 point lead, and he actually won by 11 points. They were off by 3 points.

Other polls give Obama a 2 point edge in Wisconsin. I still say that Obama has the edge in Wisconsin, but the difference comes on who has the momentum on election day!

plus he was in colo. vegas and oregon today ? this is amazing ! these are supposed to be lock and load states for bam bam !!

canam · #9 11-02-2012, 03:37 PM

By 7:30 Indiana polls will be closed on Tue. where Romney is already leading by at least 5 ,if Pennsylvania ,which NY times has admitted, is already breaking for Romney and Wisconsin where Romney is tied or leading continue to go the way they are going, it will be an early call for Romney, game over!!!! before the west coast even finishes voting !! oh and ps las vegas journal just endorsed Romney dont be surprised if even Nevada goes Romney ! which explains why Bo Bo is spending all his time in Colo. Nevada ,Oregon,and Wisconsin,they know its over by their own internal polls !!!

MawMaw · #10 11-04-2012, 03:27 PM

Politics

Romney Landslide: Here Are the Biggest Names Predicting It & How It Will Happen
Posted on November 4, 2012 at 3:37pm

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/romn...t-will-happen/