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  #41  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:44 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by Mr. Steinway View Post
I do remember the 70's, but the current situation is worse and getting more worse. We haven't reached the bottom yet!
The bottom will be 5600, give or take a few hundred, in the DOW. I read were one economist stated he thought that threre would be 1000+/- points drop Thursday and Friday. That would put us at 6600.
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  #42  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:46 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by Sherri View Post
What are interest rates supposed to do in the near future? Right now I have a HELOC that I'm using to pay for the home we own in Nashville, and my interest rate on it is 2.25%!!!! My home mortgage is at 5%, I think, but it's locked in.
I think the consensus is that they will remain low for the near term. I would lock any mortgage I have into a fixed rate while they are low. A week or two ago I was quoted 5.5% on a refinance with no points.
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  #43  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:46 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by RevDWW View Post
The bottom will be 5600, give or take a few hundred, in the DOW. I read were one economist stated he thought that threre would be 1000+/- points drop Thursday and Friday. That would put us at 6600.
Every time Obama speaks the stocks drop. The business men have let everyone know they have no confidence in him and congress pulling us out of this mess.
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  #44  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:49 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

www.nytimes.com/2008/12/02/business/economy/02econ.html?fta=y
WASHINGTON — The United States economy officially sank into a recession last December, which means that the downturn is already longer than the average for all recessions since World War II, according to the committee of economists responsible for dating the nation’s business cycles.

Richard Drew/Associated Press

In declaring that the economy has been in a downturn for almost 12 months, the National Bureau of Economic Research confirmed what many Americans had already been feeling in their bones.

But private forecasters warned that this downturn was likely to set a new postwar record for length and likely to be more painful than any recession since 1980 and 1981.

“We will rewrite the record book on length for this recession,” said Allen Sinai, president of Decision Economics in Lexington, Mass.
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  #45  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:51 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by Edward Anglin View Post
Deflation is occuring now, and will continue through summer. But inflation will hit eventually, and it ain't gonna be pretty.

What are we gonna do when gas goes back up to $4 a gallon?

And it will.
It is called, "Hyperinflation" & Germany had it after the roaring twenties where it took a million Reich marks to buy a loaf of bread!

If I were you, I would invest in a good wheel barrow cuz friend we are gonna need them!

Oh buy the way, Gas in B.C. is after dipping it is up to about $4.50 a gallon!!!
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  #46  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:52 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by CC1 View Post
I think the consensus is that they will remain low for the near term. I would lock any mortgage I have into a fixed rate while they are low. A week or two ago I was quoted 5.5% on a refinance with no points.
I really would like to sell the townhome in N'ville. We bought it as an investment when Ashley lived there and we didn't want her to live in a dump. Then she left Nashville and we were stuck with a townhome in a very bad selling market. So.....it's rented right now, but the HELOC can't be locked in - it's just one below prime all the time. Whenever the real estate market rebounds, I would love to be free of it, even though right now it's making money.
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  #47  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:52 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by RevDWW View Post
The bottom will be 5600, give or take a few hundred, in the DOW. I read were one economist stated he thought that threre would be 1000+/- points drop Thursday and Friday. That would put us at 6600.
I think 6000 is the bottom, but I could be off a bit.

It was at 7500 yesterday, which is an unbelievable number when we consider we were around 11500 to 12000 when this started.

It's getting close to losing about half of it's total value.
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  #48  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:52 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Edward Anglin View Post
www.nytimes.com/2008/12/02/business/economy/02econ.html?fta=y
WASHINGTON — The United States economy officially sank into a recession last December, which means that the downturn is already longer than the average for all recessions since World War II, according to the committee of economists responsible for dating the nation’s business cycles.

Richard Drew/Associated Press

In declaring that the economy has been in a downturn for almost 12 months, the National Bureau of Economic Research confirmed what many Americans had already been feeling in their bones.

But private forecasters warned that this downturn was likely to set a new postwar record for length and likely to be more painful than any recession since 1980 and 1981.

“We will rewrite the record book on length for this recession,” said Allen Sinai, president of Decision Economics in Lexington, Mass.
and that is about what I am saying. Bad yes. mother of all depressions? no.
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  #49  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:53 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by Edward Anglin View Post
I think 6000 is the bottom, but I could be off a bit.

It was at 7500 yesterday, which is an unbelievable number when we consider we were around 11500 to 12000 when this started.

It's getting close to losing about half of it's total value.
14,000 was the peak... or there abouts?
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  #50  
Old 02-18-2009, 04:55 PM
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Re: Are You Prepared For a Rough Ride in 2009?

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Originally Posted by CC1 View Post
Yup. I remember very well Jimmy Carter's wonderful economy with 21% interest rates and 18% inflation. Arghhhhh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Steinway View Post
I do remember the 70's, but the current situation is worse and getting more worse. We haven't reached the bottom yet!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Steinway View Post
Look for run-away inflation to hit in 2010 or 2011! It's coming!
it aint there yet... but I will grant you that with a socialist/facist president, we could very well get there.

ED! SEE THE ABOVE!

I do believe that it can get really really bad if the current adminstration keeps making very bad moves.

im just not willing to hit the panic button yet.
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