According to Drudgereport the Race is Tie

[Pastor Keith]

Of course within the margin of error, the race is tied with Obama at 49% and McCain at 47% so within the 3% margin of error for being tied. I guess McCain going after Obama last night helped.

[Pressing-On]

Yes sir, he cleaned Obama's clock! Loved it!!! Yes, he did, MIKE!

[Brad Murphy]

The race doesn't start until the polls are open...

[rgcraig]

Originally Posted by Brad Murphy

The race doesn't start until the polls are open...

Early voting started here yesterday, so they are open!

[TRFrance]

I think some voters are beginning to have buyer's remorse about Obama.

Like a guy who gets engaged, but now he's not sure if he want to go ahead with the wedding.... I think some folks might be second-guessing whether or not they really want to go ahead and put this guy in the White House.

[Jermyn Davidson]

Unless Sen. Obama is ahead by 15% - 20%, the Bradley affect and voter apathy will propel Sen. McCain to the White House.

[gloryseeker]

Originally Posted by 1399

Unless Sen. Obama is ahead by 15% - 20%, the Bradley affect and voter apathy will propel Sen. McCain to the White House.

I am prone to believe this, maybe not that high of a percentage, but I think the actual votes will greatly differ from the polls.

[RunningOnFaith]

This is a case of Drudge Cherry Picking the polls that advance Sen. McCain. The Gallup organization actually has three polls actual polls. The other two are

Registered voters: Obama 50 McCain 43
Likely Voters (Expanded): Obama 51 McCain 45

It seems to me that the gallup organization is hedging their bets in producing these three seperate polls. I wish they would make up their mind and produce one.

In terms of polling analysis from a mathematical standpoint, fivethirtyeight.com is far superior to drudge.

The Princeton Election Consortium is interesting also.
http://election.princeton.edu/

[RunningOnFaith]

Originally Posted by 1399

Unless Sen. Obama is ahead by 15% - 20%, the Bradley affect and voter apathy will propel Sen. McCain to the White House.

This may interest you. It was written by Bradley's opponet pollster.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...lective_m.html

[MikeinAR]

Originally Posted by RunningOnFaith

This may interest you. It was written by Bradley's opponet pollster.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...lective_m.html

I linked to that article in a discussion on here yesterday. I think there is plenty of doubt that the "Bradley effect" actually exists.

The Bradley race in California is a horrible example of the proposition if it is. The last tracking poll in that race on November 1 had the race only 2% points difference. Bradley's race was tightening over the last week. There was no clear last minute change of mind, or cold feet on the part of white voters in that race.