This graph really gives the essence of the debate. The first is the Hockey Stick by Michael Mann. MM is part of the group who are pushing the IPCC reports that the world governments are using to say Global Warming is man made (Anthropogenic Global Warming or AGW).
The second reconstruction is the historic understanding of temperature for the last 1200 years. This shows 3 important things.
First, the Medieval Warming Period (MWP) lasted for about 500 years and was global,
Second, there was a period called the Little Ice Age LIA that followed and that also corresponded with the Maunder Minimum and the Dalton Minimum. These are episodes of low Sun Spot activity.
Third, the earth is now warming again, however it is not as warm now as it was in the MWP, nor is this warming appreciably different from the previous warming period.
Based on these 3 simple facts, AGW can either be proven (by disproving the second graph) or AGW can be disproved (by proving the second graph.)
ALL of Climate Change science as it relates to AGW, boils down to proving or disproving that the current warming period is materially different from the MWP in a way that shows that it is now 1. Hotter. 2. Warmed faster. 3. Have a different source that the previous warming/cooling periods.
What we know about the 20th century is that it reversed the Little Ice Age. We also know that the LIA happened during low sunspot activity and we know that the 20th century was a period of extremely high sun spot activity.
We also know from the recently hacked emails from Hadley CRU, that the major players in the IPCC reporting (International Panel on Climate Change) work working very hard to disprove the MWP graph, and were hiding and manipulating data to do so.
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