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Old 11-01-2008, 01:01 PM
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vrblackwell vrblackwell is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Springfield, MO
Posts: 462
My Election Prediction.

I predict that John McCain will win Tuesday.

However, if Obama wins, he will not have the popular vote. I predict McCain to win the popular vote big.

How do I come to this conclusion?

In 2004 Kerry was ahead of Bush in the polls on election day by 7%. We all know who won.

Obama is ahead of McCain in Pennsylvania write now by 3 or 4 percent. In 2004 Kerry was leading Bush in Pennsylvania by 15% on election day. He only won that state by 2 or 3 percent.

I think that Obama will have to be up by 10 percent or more in the polls in order to win.

The polls always have the Democrat leading in the polls. And the republican has won in in the last two elections.
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