Quote:
Originally Posted by aegsm76
I definitely googled it.
His "statistics" on Cruz being the nominee are as bad as they are on the 12 million dems voting for Trump.
Here is what he says about his "findings"
"After a lot of work I have finished my math calculations. A simple effort will show that from 2000 to 2008 there was a change in Primary votes of 10-12 million. Ten million more Republicans and 12 million less Democrats. But this is child's play. Getting deeper, examining States with close polling prior to the registration requirements, States with a clear winner in polls prior to registration change requirements, and you can set patterns.
Using 2000 and 2008 as baselines, the conclusion was staggering. Trump only got about 3.3 million Republican Votes. The rest are Democrats, approximately 12 million of them."
This is what he bases his "findings" on.
PO - for part of my career I was a Six Sigma Blackbelt.
That means I was heavily trained in statistical analysis.
What he did was in no way a valid statistical measurement.
It is his opinion.
It is similar to someone trying to average percentages and reach a conclusion.
He would be laughed out of any conference if he tried to present this as a paper.
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As stated, we KNOW there were MANY Democrats who went for the crossover in the OPEN PRIMARIES voting in the weakest candidate against Hillary. The candidate with higher unfavorables than she has. She needed that, badly, and with someone having just as bad of a reputation.
I am not saying that the delegate revolt will work, but it does need to be in place. It needs to be made part of the rules.
So, if Trump wins in July, you can have your photo taken alongside his Playboy mounted frames on his office wall. Maybe Jerry Falwell, Jr and his wife will take another one with you. Those pesky principles always stare out at us at the worst possible moments.
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