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Old 08-05-2016, 10:40 PM
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jfrog jfrog is offline
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Re: Nate Silver: Trump 57.5% Chance of Winning

Quote:
Originally Posted by n david View Post
7.5% today.



This is absurd. As stated before, regardless of Silver's accuracy from past elections, I don't believe this for a second. Seriously, this is claiming Hillary would get almost 500 of the 538 available electoral votes.

That would be like me saying I give it a 90% chance the Steelers will beat the Browns in football this year and then you coming back with "that can't be right they will never score 90 points while the Browns score 10."



The man is not forecasting the margin of victory only the chance for victory.
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