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Old 07-27-2016, 12:31 PM
n david n david is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2009
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Re: Nate Silver: Trump 57.5% Chance of Winning

Quote:
Originally Posted by jfrog View Post
Why is that unlikely?
I have never, not in my lifetime, seen a politician jump from 19% in the polls to 55.3% in one month. Never. Conventions don't even give that kind of bounce.



Sorry, either the 19% was wrong, or his 55.3% is wrong. Something isn't right.

Also, looking at the chart of States, I don't believe Trump is going to sweep FL, OH, and PA.

But I'll acknowledge that anything can happen. Especially in this bizarre election, where one nominee is a felon, and the other nominee was her big donor and supporter.
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