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  #1  
Old 10-28-2008, 02:02 PM
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MikeinAR MikeinAR is offline
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This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

In all three gallup polls today, the registered voters and both likely voter polls, the numbers are tightening. Obama lost 2% in a couple and Mac gained 2% in a couple of them. These national polls are generally two or three days ahead of what you see in the individual state polling. I've watche the Gallup's for over a month and don't remember seeing a shift down for Obama in all 3 polls, on the same day. This is a good sign for McCain that there may be some very serious tightening going into the homestretch.

This bears watching over the next couple of days as close as it will be in the battleground states.

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
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Old 10-28-2008, 02:04 PM
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeinAR View Post
In all three gallup polls today, the registered voters and both likely voter polls, the numbers are tightening. Obama lost 2% in a couple and Mac gained 2% in a couple of them. These national polls are generally two or three days ahead of what you see in the individual state polling. I've watche the Gallup's for over a month and don't remember seeing a shift down for Obama in all 3 polls, on the same day. This is a good sign for McCain that there may be some very serious tightening going into the homestretch.

This bears watching over the next couple of days as close as it will be in the battleground states.

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
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Old 10-28-2008, 02:08 PM
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

Yes... I am soo excited!!
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Old 10-28-2008, 02:09 PM
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

they had kerry up 4 points the day before 4 years ago, he lost, never know till it is over, and they stuff the boxes in ohio, dt
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Old 10-28-2008, 02:33 PM
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

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Originally Posted by DividedThigh View Post
they had kerry up 4 points the day before 4 years ago, he lost, never know till it is over, and they stuff the boxes in ohio, dt
Excuse me?????
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Old 10-28-2008, 02:09 PM
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeinAR View Post
In all three gallup polls today, the registered voters and both likely voter polls, the numbers are tightening. Obama lost 2% in a couple and Mac gained 2% in a couple of them. These national polls are generally two or three days ahead of what you see in the individual state polling. I've watche the Gallup's for over a month and don't remember seeing a shift down for Obama in all 3 polls, on the same day. This is a good sign for McCain that there may be some very serious tightening going into the homestretch.

This bears watching over the next couple of days as close as it will be in the battleground states.

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Correct me if I am wrong but the way I hear it stated and played out on different web sites it doesn't matter about the polls or popular votes, what matters is the electoral college votes.

Something about the Presidential race being 50 separate races in each State
& that the magic number is 270?

That being the case, a candidate can get less than the popular vote but still win the Presidency, is this right?
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  #7  
Old 10-28-2008, 02:11 PM
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MikeinAR MikeinAR is offline
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

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Originally Posted by Ron View Post
Correct me if I am wrong but the way I hear it stated and played out on different web sites it doesn't matter about the polls or popular votes, what matters is the electoral college votes.

Something about the Presidential race being 50 separate races in each State
& that the magic number is 270?

That being the case, a candidate can get less than the popular vote but still when the Presidency, is this right?
That's correct. It happened in 2000, I believe. I know it was close to happening at least. If I'm wrong I'm sure someone will correct me.

It can happen. But again, the important thing to take from those numbers is that generally what happens in the national polls then translates on down to the state polls. In places like Ohio, VA, and Florida where it's so close a downward shift for Obama could be enough to cost him the states.
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  #8  
Old 10-28-2008, 02:14 PM
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

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Originally Posted by MikeinAR View Post
That's correct. It happened in 2000, I believe. I know it was close to happening at least. If I'm wrong I'm sure someone will correct me.

It can happen. But again, the important thing to take from those numbers is that generally what happens in the national polls then translates on down to the state polls. In places like Ohio, VA, and Florida where it's so close a downward shift for Obama could be enough to cost him the states.
No, I think you're right. It did happen in 2000
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  #9  
Old 10-28-2008, 02:16 PM
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

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Originally Posted by Ron View Post
..
That being the case, a candidate can get less than the popular vote but still when the Presidency, is this right?
Yes, Al Gore won the popular vote but George Bush won the electoral vote in 2000.

If this link works, you can read about it here

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgu...icial%26sa%3DN
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  #10  
Old 10-28-2008, 02:18 PM
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MikeinAR MikeinAR is offline
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Re: This is a good sign of tightening for McCain

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Originally Posted by Sam View Post
Yes, Al Gore won the popular vote but George Bush won the electoral vote in 2000.

If this link works, you can read about it here

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgu...icial%26sa%3DN
It was by 550,000 if my math is right and this link is correct. I'd forgotten it was by that much. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._pr...election,_2000
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